{"id":4895,"date":"2022-02-23T14:38:00","date_gmt":"2022-02-23T11:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/?p=4895"},"modified":"2022-02-24T16:00:07","modified_gmt":"2022-02-24T13:00:07","slug":"israile-karsi-askeri-dengede-bir-ust-seviye-hizbullahin-hassas-fuzeleri-ve-ihalari","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/israile-karsi-askeri-dengede-bir-ust-seviye-hizbullahin-hassas-fuzeleri-ve-ihalari\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130srail\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 askeri dengede bir \u00fcst seviye: Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n hassas f\u00fczeleri ve \u0130HA\u2019lar\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>L\u00fcbnan 2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren \u0130srail\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 net bir \u015fekilde askeri cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Daha \u00f6nceki 50-55 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemin aksine o tarihlerden bu yana \u0130srail, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n askeri g\u00fcc\u00fc ve sahip oldu\u011fu f\u00fczeler nedeniyle, L\u00fcbnan\u2019a sald\u0131rmaya cesaret edemiyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130srail askeri silahlanma a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yaln\u0131z Ortado\u011fu\u2019da de\u011fil muhtemelen t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada benzeri olmayan bir \u00f6zelli\u011fe sahip. Askeri alanda Bat\u0131da -\u00f6zellikle ABD\u2019de- geli\u015ftirilen t\u00fcm yeni silah, askeri teknoloji ve u\u00e7aklara m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olan en k\u0131sa zamanda ve neredeyse hi\u00e7bir k\u0131s\u0131tlama olmaks\u0131z\u0131n sahip olabiliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, teknik anlamda \u0130srail\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f a\u00e7mayan tek cephe\/kom\u015fu \u00fclkesi olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen neredeyse kurulu\u015fundan itibaren kesintisiz bir \u015fekilde \u0130srail\u2019in sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na maruz kalan, \u00e2deta \u0130srail\u2019in \u015famar o\u011flan\u0131na d\u00f6nen L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n ise bir ordusu dahi yok ve hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131. Zira zaten emperyalistler \u0130srail i\u00e7in tampon bir \u00fclke olu\u015fturmak amac\u0131yla Suriye\u2019nin bu par\u00e7as\u0131n\u0131 kopararak bir \u201cdevlet\u201d yaratm\u0131\u015f ve bu kapsamda \u0130srail\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 askeri hi\u00e7bir risk i\u00e7ermeyen ve uysal davranacak bir yap\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015flerdi.(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.marbutahaber.com\/ortadogu\/lubnan\/emir-asnas-yazdi-ve-prof-saadenin-makalesini-cevirdi-lubnani-anlamak-buyuk-lubnanin-islevi-baslangici-ve-sonu\/\">1<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Asl\u0131nda L\u00fcbnan\u2019da devletin kurulu\u015fundan beri ad\u0131na ordu denilen bir kurum oldu ama bunun sadece ad\u0131 orduydu. Fiiliyatta ise bu yap\u0131n\u0131n ordu de\u011fil biraz geli\u015fkin bir polis g\u00fcc\u00fc oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenebilir. \u00d6yle ki bu \u201cordu\u201dnun h\u00e2l\u00e2 bildi\u011fimiz anlamda bir hava kuvvetleri olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi neredeyse her g\u00fcn hava sahas\u0131n\u0131 ihlal eden bir d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131n\u0131n varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ra\u011fmen herhangi bir sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131 ve hatt\u00e2 hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 koyacak bir hava savunma sistemi dahi yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0130\u015fte b\u00f6yle bir durumdaki L\u00fcbnan\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131, askeri silah ve teknoloji elde etmekteki ayr\u0131cal\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ba\u015fta ABD olmak \u00fczere emperyalist kamp\u0131n e\u015fi benzeri olmayan ekonomik, mali, siyasi ve diplomatik deste\u011fine sahip \u0130srail, 2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda bu \u00fclkenin i\u015fgal etti\u011fi topraklar\u0131ndan kay\u0131ts\u0131z \u015farts\u0131z \u00e7ekilmek zorunda kalm\u0131\u015f, L\u00fcbnan Direni\u015fi kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yenilgiye u\u011fram\u0131\u015ft\u0131. B\u00f6ylece \u0130srail\u2019in yenilmez bir orduya sahip oldu\u011fu efsanesi yerle bir olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yine 2006 y\u0131l\u0131nda sald\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 L\u00fcbnan\u2019da en geli\u015fmi\u015f yeni teknolojiye sahip u\u00e7aklar\u0131n\u0131n deste\u011fine, bu u\u00e7aklarla L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n altyap\u0131 tesislerine ve sivillere y\u00f6nelik vah\u015fi sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na ve katliamlar\u0131na ra\u011fmen Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n direni\u015fini a\u015famam\u0131\u015f, 1 metre dahi ilerleyememi\u015f ve 33 g\u00fcn sonra emperyalist \u00fclkeler ve i\u015fbirlik\u00e7i Arap rejimleri arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ate\u015fkes talep etmek zorunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1-2 haftay\u0131 a\u015fan s\u00fcreli sava\u015flara tahamm\u00fcl\u00fc olmayan \u0130srail\u2019in bu \u201cpes etmesinde\u201d Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n askeri direni\u015finin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Filistin\u2019deki \u0130srail hedeflerine balistik f\u00fczelerle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar \u00f6nemli rol oynam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u00f6ylece, L\u00fcbnan 2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan -\u00f6zellikle 2006 y\u0131l\u0131ndan- itibaren \u0130srail\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 net bir \u015fekilde askeri cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Daha \u00f6nceki 50-55 y\u0131ll\u0131k d\u00f6nemin aksine o tarihlerden bu yana \u0130srail, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n askeri g\u00fcc\u00fc ve sahip oldu\u011fu f\u00fczeler nedeniyle, L\u00fcbnan\u2019a sald\u0131rmaya cesaret edemiyor. Sonu\u00e7 olarak f\u00fczeler, L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n kendisini, topraklar\u0131n\u0131 ve haklar\u0131n\u0131 -Akdeniz\u2019deki do\u011fal gaz yataklar\u0131 dahil- \u0130srail\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 koruyabilmesini sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n Mevcut F\u00fczeleri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hizbullah karadan karaya (sald\u0131r\u0131), anti tank, gemilere kar\u015f\u0131 ve hava savunma f\u00fczelerine sahip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Va\u015fington merkezli Stratejik ve Uluslararas\u0131 \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar Merkezi-CSIS\u2019in 2021 A\u011fustos\u2019unda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 rapora g\u00f6re, 2006 \u0130srail-L\u00fcbnan sava\u015f\u0131 arifesinde Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n toplam 15 bin civar\u0131nda f\u00fczesi vard\u0131 ve sava\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda da bunlardan 4 bini \u0130srail\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ayn\u0131 rapor, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n bug\u00fcn sahip oldu\u011fu toplam f\u00fcze say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 130 bin olarak tahmin ediyor. (<a href=\"https:\/\/missilethreat.csis.org\/country\/hezbollahs-rocket-arsenal\/\">2<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marbutahaber.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Gorsel-1.jpg\"><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>L\u00fcbnan ve Suriye s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndaki geli\u015fmeleri -\u00f6zellikle Hizbullah\u2019\u0131- izlemek \u00fczere Filistin\u2019in L\u00fcbnan\u2019a s\u0131n\u0131rda\u015f Yukar\u0131 Celil b\u00f6lgesinde kurulmu\u015f olan ve temel amac\u0131 yabanc\u0131lara \u0130ngilizce propaganda rapor ve haberleri yay\u0131nlamak olan Alma Ara\u015ft\u0131rma ve E\u011fitim Merkezi\u2019nin (ALMA) 2021 May\u0131s tarihli raporuna g\u00f6re ise Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n sahip oldu\u011fu toplam f\u00fcze say\u0131s\u0131 150 bin civar\u0131nda.(<a href=\"https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/2021\/05\/06\/hezbollahs-missile-and-rocket-arrays-a-tough-and-complex-challenge-for-israel\/\">3<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ALMA, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n en yayg\u0131n karadan karaya (sald\u0131r\u0131) f\u00fczelerini menzillerine g\u00f6re \u015fu \u015fekilde s\u0131ral\u0131yor:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>On binlerce k\u0131sa menzilli f\u00fcze\/roket: En yayg\u0131nlar\u0131 40 km menzilli Grad ve 75 km menzilli Fajer.<\/li><li>Y\u00fczlerce ve binlerce orta menzilli f\u00fcze: 200 km\u2019ye kadar menzile sahip Zelzal ve 300 km\u2019ye kadar menzile sahip Fateh 110 (di\u011fer ad\u0131yla M-600 veya Te\u015frin) f\u00fczeleri.<\/li><li>D\u00fczinelerce uzun menzilli f\u00fcze: \u00d6zellikle 300 ila 700 km menzilli Scud D f\u00fczeleri.<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Yine ALMA\u2019ya g\u00f6re, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n sabit ve hareketli \u00e7ok say\u0131da f\u00fcze rampas\u0131na sahip olmas\u0131, ona g\u00fcnde toplam 2 bin f\u00fcze ve roket g\u00f6nderme kapasitesi sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.marbutahaber.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Gorsel-2-1.jpeg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Bu veriler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, yukar\u0131daki g\u00f6rselden de anla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 gibi, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n k\u0131sa ve orta menzilli f\u00fczelerinin kapsama alan\u0131 \u0130srail\u2019in neredeyse t\u00fcm askeri ve sivil tesis ve yap\u0131lar\u0131 ile n\u00fcfusun \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nitekim Hizbullah Genel Sekreteri Hasan Nasrallah, 2006 sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n 13. y\u0131ld\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnde (Temmuz 2019\u2019da) yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir s\u00f6yle\u015fide, en g\u00fcneyde K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz k\u0131y\u0131s\u0131ndaki Eylat dahil Filistin co\u011frafyas\u0131n\u0131n tamam\u0131n\u0131 hedef alabilecek imk\u00e2nlara sahip olduklar\u0131n\u0131, ancak buna -yani uzun menzilli f\u00fczelere- gerek kalmaks\u0131z\u0131n, Tel-Aviv\u2019in kuzeyindeki Netanya ile g\u00fcneyindeki Asd\u00fbd (Ashdod) aras\u0131nda yer alan 70 km derinlik ve 15-20 km geni\u015flikteki alan\u0131n hedef al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n yeterli olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Zira, \u0130srail\u2019in stratejik kurum ve yap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n (kamu kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n, bakanl\u0131klar\u0131n, ara\u015ft\u0131rma merkezlerinin, enstit\u00fclerin, ordu birimlerinin, hava alanlar\u0131n\u0131n, hava \u00fcslerinin, s\u0131nai tesislerin, elektrik santrallerinin, deniz suyu ar\u0131tma tesislerinin, gaz pompa ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m merkezlerinin vs.) % 90\u2019\u0131n\u0131n ve ayr\u0131ca n\u00fcfusun \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011funun bu b\u00f6lgede oldu\u011funu belirtti.(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Przcf2SGwV0\">4<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n Hassas F\u00fczelere Sahip Olmas\u0131 ve \u0130srail\u2019in Kar\u015f\u0131 Koymas\u0131:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hizbullah son y\u0131llarda \u0130srail ile askeri dengede geri d\u00fc\u015fmemek ve cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korumak i\u00e7in hassas f\u00fczelere (precision -guided- missiles) sahip olmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu f\u00fczeler hedefe hassas bir \u015fekilde isabet etmeyi, \u00e2deta nokta at\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapmay\u0131 sa\u011flayan teknolojiye sahip f\u00fczelerdir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buna mukabil, \u0130srail\u2019in de son y\u0131llardaki en \u00f6nemli askeri \u00f6nceliklerinden birisi Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n bu hassas f\u00fczelere\/teknolojiye sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131n engellenmesi oldu. \u00d6yle ki, \u0130srail yetkilileri bunu defalarca alenen il\u00e2n ettiler.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>3 Mart 2021 tarihinde \u0130srael Hayom gazetesi, \u0130srail ordusu bak\u0131\u015f a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131na g\u00f6re Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n hassas f\u00fczelere sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131n en acil tehdit olarak de\u011ferlendirildi\u011fini, bu konudaki geli\u015fmelerin bizzat genelkurmay ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve yard\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan g\u00fcndelik olarak takip edildi\u011fini yazd\u0131. Gazete, ordu i\u00e7inde yap\u0131lan de\u011ferlendirmeler sonucunda s\u00f6z konusu tehdidin hen\u00fcz \u201ctolere edilebilir\u201d seviyede oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bask\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.israelhayom.com\/2021\/03\/03\/hezbollahs-precision-missiles-a-bigger-threat-than-irans-nuclear-program\/\">5<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ayn\u0131 gazete, 2021 \u015eubat\u2019\u0131nda \u0130srail Ordusu \u0130stihbarat Birimi AMAN\u2019\u0131n Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Tamir Hayman\u2019\u0131n k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n halihaz\u0131rda \u201cbirka\u00e7 d\u00fczine\u201d hassas f\u00fczeye sahip oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi\u011fini belirtti. Yine \u0130srail ordusunun Muharebe Teknikleri ve Modernle\u015ftirme Tugay\u0131 Komutan\u0131 Eran Nef\u2019in \u201cHizbullah\u2019\u0131n sahip oldu\u011fu hassas f\u00fczelerin say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczlere ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ve bine yakla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u0130srail\u2019in k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgisi oldu\u011funu, b\u00f6yle bir durumda (karar vericilere) Hizbullah\u2019a sald\u0131rmay\u0131 teklif edecekleri\u201d \u015feklindeki s\u00f6zlerini aktard\u0131. Gazete ayr\u0131ca \u0130srail\u2019in Suriye\u2019ye sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn de bu f\u00fczelerin ikmalini engellemeye y\u00f6nelik oldu\u011funu iddia etti.(<a href=\"https:\/\/english.sawtbeirut.com\/lebanon\/israel-threatens-to-target-hezbollah-precision-missiles-if-crosses-the-red-line\/\">6<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Son olarak, \u0130srail\u2019in en \u00f6nemli \u201cthink tank\u201dlerinden -belki de en \u00f6nemlisi- Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc-INSS, 15 \u015eubat 2022 tarihinde a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2022 Strateji Raporunda \u0130srail i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u0131\u015f tehdidi \u015fu \u015fekilde belirtti: \u201c\u0130ran, hem askeri n\u00fckleer kapasite aray\u0131\u015f\u0131yla hem de di\u011ferlerinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra \u0130srail\u2019i kapsaml\u0131 ate\u015f tehdidi alt\u0131nda tutma \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131 ve L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki Hizbullah i\u00e7in hassas f\u00fcze projesinin geli\u015ftirilmesini i\u00e7eren y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel faaliyetleriyle \u0130srail i\u00e7in en ciddi d\u0131\u015f tehdidi olu\u015fturmaktad\u0131r. \u0130srail, bu zorluklara tek ba\u015f\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 koymada zorlanmakta; n\u00fckleer konuda bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131ls\u0131n veya var\u0131lmas\u0131n, ABD ile koordinasyonunu ve \u00f6zel ili\u015fkilerini derinle\u015ftirmeye y\u00f6nelik ihtiyac\u0131 artmaktad\u0131r.\u201d(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.inss.org.il\/publication\/preview-2022\/\">7<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Son A\u00e7\u0131klama ve Geli\u015fmeler I\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n Hassas F\u00fczeleri, \u0130HA\u2019lar\u0131 ve Hava Savunma Sistemleri<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hizbullah Genel Sekreteri Hasan Nasrallah\u2019\u0131n t\u00fcm konu\u015fmalar\u0131 \u0130srail medyas\u0131 ve kamuoyu taraf\u0131ndan yak\u0131ndan izlenir. \u015e\u00fcphesiz bunun bir nedeni, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n \u0130srail i\u00e7in en b\u00fcy\u00fck yak\u0131n tehdit olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmesidir. Bir di\u011fer neden ise Nasrallah\u2019\u0131n konu\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n psikolojik harbe dair boyutlar\u0131 olsa da \u0130srail kamuoyunda -kendi liderlerinin aksine- Nasrallah\u2019\u0131n yalan s\u00f6ylemeyece\u011fi ve dayanaks\u0131z konu\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ge\u00e7mi\u015f on y\u0131llardaki s\u00f6ylemlerinin do\u011fru \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 sonucunda olu\u015fmu\u015f yayg\u0131n bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn bulunmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nasrallah, 16 \u015eubat 2022 tarihinde yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=miph2ekC-xs&amp;t=1775s\">8<\/a>) \u0130srail\u2019in \u201cSava\u015flar Aras\u0131 (D\u00f6nemde) Muharebe\/M\u00fccadele-SAM (Campaign Between Wars)\u201d olarak isimlendirdi\u011fi bir stratejiyi il\u00e2n etmi\u015f oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekti.(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtoninstitute.org\/policy-analysis\/campaign-between-wars-how-israel-rethought-its-strategy-counter-irans-malign\">9<\/a>) \u0130srail\u2019in SAM kapsam\u0131nda de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi askeri konular aras\u0131nda bulunan hassas f\u00fczeler ve insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131 (\u0130HA\/drone) hususlar\u0131nda Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviyeye dair \u00f6nemli a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulundu. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda bulunurken, verece\u011fi bilgilerin d\u00fc\u015fman taraf\u0131ndan zaten bilindi\u011fini, dolay\u0131s\u0131yla gizlilik i\u00e7ermedi\u011fini belirtti. Ayr\u0131ca \u0130srail ordusunun SAM kapsam\u0131nda yapm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011fu faaliyetlerin\/operasyonlar\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda kendi kamuoyuna s\u00f6yledi\u011fi yalanlar\u0131 da bu konu\u015fmas\u0131nda if\u015fa etmi\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1- HASSAS F\u00dcZELER:<\/strong> Nasrallah, SAM kapsam\u0131nda son y\u0131llarda \u00f6zellikle hassas f\u00fczelere sahip olmalar\u0131n\u0131 engellemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u0130srail\u2019in Suriye\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lardaki ama\u00e7lar\u0131ndan birisinin bu f\u00fczelerin \u0130ran\u2019dan L\u00fcbnan\u2019a naklini engelleme ama\u00e7l\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtti. Bunun \u0130ran\u2019dan Hizbullah\u2019a Suriye \u00fczerinden \u201cnitelikli\u201d silah naklini ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkiledi\u011fi ve engelledi\u011fi konusuna girmeyece\u011fini vurgulayarak bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6zellikle hassas f\u00fczeler konusunda kendileri i\u00e7in bir tehdit olu\u015fturdu\u011funu kabul etti. Bununla birlikte, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n bu tehdidi f\u0131rsata d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, y\u0131llar \u00f6nce ba\u015flad\u0131klar\u0131 bir proje kapsam\u0131nda gerek kendi beyinleri ve imk\u00e2nlar\u0131yla gerek \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 teknik yard\u0131mla ellerindeki f\u00fczelerden bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc hassas f\u00fczelere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmeyi ba\u015fard\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti. Nasrallah, bug\u00fcn itibariyle ellerinde yeterli ve bol miktarda hassas f\u00fcze bulundu\u011funu ilan ederek, art\u0131k bunlar\u0131n \u0130ran taraf\u0131ndan L\u00fcbnan\u2019a Suriye \u00fczerinden g\u00f6nderilmesine gerek kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nasrallah \u00f6te yandan, \u0130srail\u2019in bu f\u00fczelerin nerede oldu\u011funu ara\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n fark\u0131nda olduklar\u0131na, onlar\u0131 tek bir yerde tutmad\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u0130srail\u2019in L\u00fcbnan i\u00e7inde gittik\u00e7e daha fazla say\u0131da ajan kullanma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Bununla birlikte bu f\u00fczeleri ajanlarla imha edemeyeceklerini, bunun i\u00e7in subay ve komando g\u00f6ndermeleri gerekti\u011fini; b\u00f6yle bir durumda ya denizden geleceklerini ya uzak bir b\u00f6lgeye indirme yapacaklar\u0131n\u0131 ya da bir bask\u0131n operasyonu yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facaklar\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti. Ayr\u0131ca, \u0130srail\u2019e \u201cbuyurun gelin, bunu ikinci bir \u201cEnsariye\u201dye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmek umuduyla sizi bekliyoruz\u201d \u015feklinde seslendi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ensariye operasyonu, 1997 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00fcneyde Sayda ile Sur \u015fehirleri aras\u0131ndaki Ensariye K\u00f6y\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131karma yapan \u0130srail\u2019in se\u00e7kin komando birli\u011finin Hizbullah taraf\u0131ndan pusuya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclerek a\u011f\u0131r kay\u0131plar verdirildi\u011fi bir operasyondu.(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ydh.com.tr\/HD17125_hizbullahtan-israile-uc-sok.html\">10<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yukar\u0131da and\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z ALMA, Nasrallah\u2019\u0131n bu konu\u015fmas\u0131ndan hemen be\u015f g\u00fcn sonra 21 \u015eubat 2022 tarihinde Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n sahip oldu\u011fu f\u00fczeler konusunda k\u0131sa bir rapor yay\u0131mlad\u0131.(<a href=\"https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/2022\/02\/21\/does-hezbollah-really-have-150000-missiles-and-rockets\/\">11<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ALMA, daha \u00f6nce 2021 May\u0131s\u0131ndaki geni\u015f kapsaml\u0131 raporunda Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n sahip oldu\u011fu toplam f\u00fcze say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 150 bin civar\u0131nda olarak belirtmi\u015fken, bu kez rakam\u0131 70 bin seviyesine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.&nbsp; ALMA\u2019n\u0131n bu son raporundaki iddiaya g\u00f6re, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n elinde<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2013 65 bin adet k\u0131sa menzilli roket\/f\u00fcze (roketler + 45-200 km menzilli f\u00fczeler),<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2013 5 bin adet 200 km ve daha uzun menzilli f\u00fcze,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2013 y\u00fczlerce hassas f\u00fcze, seyir f\u00fczesi, karadan denize f\u00fczeler (Yakhont ve C-802), hava savunma sistemleri-u\u00e7aksavar f\u00fczeler (SA-17 ve SA-22)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>var. ALBA\u2019ya g\u00f6re Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n ayr\u0131ca mini denizalt\u0131lar\u0131 ve torpidolar\u0131 ile 145 bin civar\u0131nda havan topu bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2- \u0130HA\u2019LAR<\/strong>: Nasrallah, \u0130srail\u2019in SAM stratejisi kapsam\u0131nda de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi \u0130HA\u2019lar meselesinde de Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n tehdidi f\u0131rsata d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve birka\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r kendi \u0130HA\u2019lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcretmekte olduklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Hatt\u00e2 sat\u0131n almak isteyenlerin kendilerine ba\u015fvurabilece\u011fini belirterek alay etti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nitekim bu konu\u015fmadan, yaln\u0131zca iki g\u00fcn sonra Hizbullah Filistin semalar\u0131na bir \u0130HA g\u00f6nderdi. Bu \u0130HA Filistin semalar\u0131nda 40 dakika kald\u0131 ve g\u00f6revini ba\u015far\u0131yla tamamlayarak L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki \u00fcss\u00fcne geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Bu k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u0130HA dahi \u0130srail\u2019de endi\u015fe yaratt\u0131; bir\u00e7ok b\u00f6lgede sirenler \u00e7al\u0131nd\u0131 ve halk\u0131n s\u0131\u011f\u0131naklara girmesi istendi. \u0130srail parlamentosu Knesset\u2019teki G\u00fcvenlik ve D\u0131\u015f Politika Komisyonu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 (ve eski Mossad Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131) Ram Ben Barak, \u0130srail ordu radyosuna verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te \u201cAl\u00e7ak irtifada u\u00e7an ve engellenmesi zor olan \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu bir \u00e7a\u011fa haz\u0131rlanmal\u0131y\u0131z\u201d dedi.(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ydh.com.tr\/HD17129_israil-basini--hizbullahin-2-bin-ihasi-var.html\">12<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ALMA\u2019n\u0131n yukar\u0131da belirtti\u011fimiz 21 \u015eubat 2022 tarihli son raporunda Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n en az 2000 \u0130HA\u2019s\u0131n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3- HAVA SAVUNMA S\u0130STEMLER\u0130<\/strong>: Nasrallah gerek belirtti\u011fimiz 16 \u015eubat 2022 tarihli konu\u015fmas\u0131nda gerek 8 \u015eubat 2022 tarihinde yay\u0131mlanan Al-Alam TV r\u00f6portaj\u0131nda hava savunma sistemleri konusuna da de\u011findi.(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=OwVJUNPo4Dw&amp;ab_channel=AlMayadeenChannel-%D9%82%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%A9%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%8A%D9%86\">13<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nasrallah, daha \u00f6nceleri \u0130srail \u0130HA\u2019lar\u0131n\u0131n bilgi toplama ve foto\u011fraf \u00e7ekme amac\u0131yla L\u00fcbnan topraklar\u0131na girdi\u011fini, ancak 2 y\u0131l kadar \u00f6nce \u0130srail\u2019in Beyrut\u2019taki Al-Dahiya Al-Cenubiye\u2019ye (G\u00fcney Banliy\u00f6: Beyrut\u2019ta \u015eiilerin yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu ve Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n merkezi te\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu semt) iki \u0130HA g\u00f6nderdi\u011fini hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. Bunun \u00fczerine esasen merhum \u0130mad Mu\u011fniye d\u00f6neminden (yani 2008 veya \u00f6ncesinden) beri mevcut bulunan hava savunma sistemlerini \u0130HA\u2019lara kar\u015f\u0131 aktifle\u015ftirme karar\u0131 ald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 (bu sistemlerin sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131na ar\u015f\u0131 kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 konusuna ise girmeyece\u011fini) belirtti. Bu savunma sistemlerinin son derece \u00f6nemli bir i\u015flev g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve o tarihten bu yana L\u00fcbnan topraklar\u0131na giren \u0130srail \u0130HA say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, giren \u0130HA\u2019lar\u0131n da L\u00fcbnan topraklar\u0131 \u00fczerinde m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011fu kadar k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre ge\u00e7irmeleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan denizden gelerek girdiklerini ve y\u00fcksek irtifada kald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131, hatta bazen giren \u0130HA\u2019y\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in \u0130srail\u2019in sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131 da g\u00f6nderdi\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S\u00f6yle\u015fide sunucunun \u201csiz yaln\u0131zca \u0130HA\u2019lara kar\u015f\u0131 savunma silah\u0131ndan bahsediyorsunuz, oysa \u0130srail medyas\u0131 kendi ordu kaynaklar\u0131na dayanarak Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n ger\u00e7ek bir hava savunma sistemine sahip oldu\u011funu, elinizde Ruslar\u0131n SA-8 ve S-17 u\u00e7aksavar sistemleri bulundu\u011funu ve bu sistemlerin yaln\u0131zca \u0130HA\u2019lara kar\u015f\u0131 de\u011fil, sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 da kullan\u0131labilece\u011fini belirtiyor\u201d s\u00f6zlerine cevaben \u201cbu konuda detaylara girmeyece\u011fini, her \u015feyin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu\u201d s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sonu\u00e7 olarak, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n Rus yap\u0131m\u0131 baz\u0131 u\u00e7aksavar sistemleri bulundu\u011funu, bunu \u0130HA\u2019lara kar\u015f\u0131 kullanmakta oldu\u011funu, ancak bu sistemlerin sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 hen\u00fcz yeterli nitelik ve\/veya nicelikte olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya da Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n bu a\u015famada sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 kullanmak ve a\u00e7\u0131klamak istemedi\u011fini anl\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>(*Emir A\u015fnas, marbutahaber)<\/strong><br><em>M\u00fclkiye mezunu. AB ve Uluslararas\u0131 Ekonomik \u0130li\u015fkiler YL program\u0131 derslerini tamamlad\u0131. Ortado\u011fu ve T\u00fcrkiye-Ortado\u011fu ili\u015fkileri konular\u0131na merakl\u0131. Uluslararas\u0131 ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131m, kamu y\u00f6netimi ve ticaret diplomasisi alanlar\u0131nda \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. 3 y\u0131l\u0131 Filistin\u2019de olmak \u00fczere toplam 10 y\u0131l \u00e7e\u015fitli Arap \u00fclkelerinde g\u00f6rev yapt\u0131.&nbsp;Arap\u00e7a ve \u0130ngilizce biliyor, \u0130spanyolca \u00f6\u011freniyor.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[1]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marbutahaber.com\/ortadogu\/lubnan\/emir-asnas-yazdi-ve-prof-saadenin-makalesini-cevirdi-lubnani-anlamak-buyuk-lubnanin-islevi-baslangici-ve-sonu\/\">https:\/\/www.marbutahaber.com\/ortadogu\/lubnan\/emir-asnas-yazdi-ve-prof-saadenin-makalesini-cevirdi-lubnani-anlamak-buyuk-lubnanin-islevi-baslangici-ve-sonu\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[2]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/missilethreat.csis.org\/country\/hezbollahs-rocket-arsenal\/\">https:\/\/missilethreat.csis.org\/country\/hezbollahs-rocket-arsenal\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[3]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/2021\/05\/06\/hezbollahs-missile-and-rocket-arrays-a-tough-and-complex-challenge-for-israel\/\">https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/2021\/05\/06\/hezbollahs-missile-and-rocket-arrays-a-tough-and-complex-challenge-for-israel\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[4]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Przcf2SGwV0\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Przcf2SGwV0<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[5]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.israelhayom.com\/2021\/03\/03\/hezbollahs-precision-missiles-a-bigger-threat-than-irans-nuclear-program\/\">https:\/\/www.israelhayom.com\/2021\/03\/03\/hezbollahs-precision-missiles-a-bigger-threat-than-irans-nuclear-program\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[6]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/english.sawtbeirut.com\/lebanon\/israel-threatens-to-target-hezbollah-precision-missiles-if-crosses-the-red-line\/\">https:\/\/english.sawtbeirut.com\/lebanon\/israel-threatens-to-target-hezbollah-precision-missiles-if-crosses-the-red-line\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[7]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.inss.org.il\/publication\/preview-2022\/\">https:\/\/www.inss.org.il\/publication\/preview-2022\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[8]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=miph2ekC-xs&amp;t=1775s\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=miph2ekC-xs&amp;t=1775s<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[9]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtoninstitute.org\/policy-analysis\/campaign-between-wars-how-israel-rethought-its-strategy-counter-irans-malign\">https:\/\/www.washingtoninstitute.org\/policy-analysis\/campaign-between-wars-how-israel-rethought-its-strategy-counter-irans-malign<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[10]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ydh.com.tr\/HD17125_hizbullahtan-israile-uc-sok.html\">https:\/\/www.ydh.com.tr\/HD17125_hizbullahtan-israile-uc-sok.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[11]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/2022\/02\/21\/does-hezbollah-really-have-150000-missiles-and-rockets\/\">https:\/\/israel-alma.org\/2022\/02\/21\/does-hezbollah-really-have-150000-missiles-and-rockets\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[12]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ydh.com.tr\/HD17129_israil-basini--hizbullahin-2-bin-ihasi-var.html\">https:\/\/www.ydh.com.tr\/HD17129_israil-basini\u2013hizbullahin-2-bin-ihasi-var.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>[13]<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=OwVJUNPo4Dw&amp;ab_channel=AlMayadeenChannel-%D9%82%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%A9%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%8A%D9%86\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=OwVJUNPo4Dw&amp;ab_channel=AlMayadeenChannel-%D9%82%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%A9%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%AF%D9%8A%D9%86<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>KAYNAK: Ajanslar<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>L\u00fcbnan 2000 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren \u0130srail\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 net bir \u015fekilde askeri cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Daha \u00f6nceki 50-55&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4896,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4895","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya","category-redaktor-secimi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4895"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4895"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4895\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4897,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4895\/revisions\/4897"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}