{"id":3622,"date":"2021-11-20T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-11-20T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/?p=3622"},"modified":"2021-11-20T11:51:18","modified_gmt":"2021-11-20T08:51:18","slug":"yukselise-gecebilir-dolarda-11-37-tl-seviyesine-dikkat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/yukselise-gecebilir-dolarda-11-37-tl-seviyesine-dikkat\/","title":{"rendered":"Y\u00fckseli\u015fe Ge\u00e7ebilir: Dolarda 11.37 TL Seviyesine Dikkat"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Merkez\u2019in faiz indirimlerine ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan bu yana y\u00fczde 35\u2019in \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kazanan dolar, ge\u00e7en hafta 11.30 TL\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Borsada ise tarihi zirveler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Peki bu seviyelerden dolar al\u0131n\u0131r m\u0131? Dolarda kritik seviyeler nerede?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Piyasalar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en hafta yine \u2018adrenalini\u2019 y\u00fcksek bir hafta oldu. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n merakla beklenen Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan 100 baz puanl\u0131k indirim karar\u0131 geldi. B\u00f6ylece politika faizi y\u00fczde 15 seviyesine indi.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00fcnya Gazetesi\u2019nden Ufuk Korcan\u2019\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re, Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan bu yana ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 her karar piyasalar\u0131 ters k\u00f6\u015fe yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Her ne kadar son toplant\u0131da faiz indirimi beklentiler dahilinde olsa da karar metninde yer alan \u2018faiz indirimindeki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 alan aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda tamamlanacak\u2019 ifadesi yine s\u00fcrpriz olarak alg\u0131land\u0131. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc bir \u00f6nceki toplant\u0131da ifade edilen \u2018s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 alan kald\u0131\u2019 ifadesi \u201cy\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan 2 ay\u0131nda 1 indirim daha olur\u201d<\/em> \u015feklinde yorumlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Oysa son ifade, indirimlerin aral\u0131kta da s\u00fcrece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini kuvvetlendirdi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00d6V\u0130ZDE TANS\u0130YON D\u00dc\u015eM\u00dcYOR<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Merkez\u2019in faiz indirimi karar\u0131 sonras\u0131nda dolar, 11 TL s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 da a\u015farken, 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvilin faizi y\u00fczde 20.44\u2019e, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k risk primi (CDS) ise 436 puana \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Geldi\u011fimiz bu noktada \u201cBuradan dolar al\u0131n\u0131r m\u0131?\u201d, \u201cDolarda y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u00fcrer mi?\u201d<\/strong> sorular\u0131 artm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu sorular\u0131n yan\u0131t\u0131 asl\u0131nda ekonomi y\u00f6netimi ve Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ataca\u011f\u0131 ad\u0131mlara ba\u011fl\u0131. Ancak mevcut durumda kurlardaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ebilmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilecek faiz silah\u0131 bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla kurlarda k\u0131sa vadede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareket zor g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BURADAN DOLAR ALINIR MI?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Peki, kurlarda yukar\u0131 hareket s\u00fcrer mi? Dolarda eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan bu yana ya\u015fanan de\u011fer art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 35\u2019i a\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yurti\u00e7i yerle\u015fiklerde \u00f6nceki hafta d\u00f6viz al\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fc ve bankalardaki D\u00f6viz Tevdiat Hesaplar\u0131\u2019nda (DTH) 1 haftada 1.9 milyar dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. K\u0131sa s\u00fcrede bu kadar sert bir hareketin ard\u0131ndan yeni pozisyon a\u00e7mak biraz riskli olabilir. Fakat daha \u00f6nce d\u00f6viz alanlar i\u00e7in sat\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in acele etmemeleri \u00f6neriliyor. Belirsizli\u011fin ve dalgalanmalar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde panik halinde verilecek kararlar, tasarruf sahiplerini zarar ettirebilir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla yumurtalar\u0131 ayn\u0131 sepete koymak yerine d\u00f6viz, mevduat, tahvil, alt\u0131n, hisse senedi gibi yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131ndan olu\u015fan bir portf\u00f6y olu\u015fturmak mant\u0131kl\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y\u00dcKSEL\u0130\u015e R\u0130SK\u0130 VAR<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dolar\/TL paritesi i\u00e7in son y\u00fckseli\u015fte 10.65 TL seviyesi ciddi bir diren\u00e7 noktas\u0131 g\u00f6revi g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. Ancak parite bu noktan\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Teknik anlamda y\u00fckseli\u015fi tetikleyen en \u00f6nemli etken bu seviyenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131. \u015eu an i\u00e7in en kritik diren\u00e7 noktas\u0131 11.37 TL seviyesinde. Zira bu seviye 6 May\u0131s 2020 tarihinden beri paritede y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131ran trend \u00e7izgisinin diren\u00e7 noktas\u0131. Teknik anlamda bu trendin diren\u00e7 noktas\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir geri \u00e7ekilme beklenebilir. 11.37\u2019den geri \u00e7ekilme olursa ilk a\u015famada 10.67 TL seviyesine kadar bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanabilir. Bu seviyesinin alt\u0131nda ise 10.29 TL seviyesi destek g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rebilir. Yukar\u0131da belirtildi\u011fi gibi 11.37 TL seviyesinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda ise kademeli de olsa 12.20 TL seviyelerine do\u011fru bir y\u00fckseli\u015f riski var.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

KAYNAK: Penceretv.com<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Merkez\u2019in faiz indirimlerine ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndan bu yana y\u00fczde 35\u2019in \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kazanan dolar, ge\u00e7en…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3623,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3622","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3622"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3622"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3622\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3624,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3622\/revisions\/3624"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3623"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qafqaztimes.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}